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China Tensions Stall Nvidia’s H20 Shipments Despite Soaring Global Sales

Fueled by Massive Data Center Growth and the Blackwell GPU Platform, Nvidia Continues to Dominate the AI Chip Market


Historic Revenue Driven by AI Explosion

Nvidia has once again shattered records, reporting $46.7 billion in quarterly revenue, a 56% increase year-over-year, driven largely by surging demand for AI infrastructure.

  • The company’s data center business alone generated $41.1 billion, also up 56%.
  • Net income for the quarter hit $26.4 billion, a 59% increase compared to the same period last year.

Blackwell is the AI platform the world has been waiting for,” said CEO Jensen Huang, underscoring the company’s central role in powering AI advancements globally.


Blackwell Chips at the Core of AI Growth

Nvidia’s latest generation of GPUs, known as Blackwell, is leading the charge:

  • Of the total data center revenue, $27 billion came from Blackwell chip sales.
  • These chips are powering everything from LLMs to cloud infrastructure, including a recent milestone where Nvidia hardware processed 1.5 million tokens per second for OpenAI’s gpt-oss models on a single GB200 NVL72 rack-scale system.

AI Infrastructure: A Multi-Trillion Dollar Opportunity

CEO Huang projected that the AI infrastructure market could reach $3–4 trillion by the end of the decade, calling the estimate “fairly sensible for the next five years.”

  • The projection reflects the ongoing arms race in AI, with hyperscalers, cloud providers, and enterprise companies investing heavily in GPU hardware.
  • Nvidia remains at the epicenter of that ecosystem, with unmatched demand for its chips.

China Market Complications and Geopolitical Constraints

Despite booming global sales, Nvidia continues to face challenges in China:

  • The company reported no sales of its China-specific H20 chips in the past quarter.
  • It did sell $650 million worth of H20 chips to a non-Chinese customer, despite the H20 being designed for export compliance with U.S. restrictions.

A new 15% export tax arrangement, pushed by the Trump administration, allows Nvidia to sell GPUs to China under special conditions. But the lack of regulatory clarity is causing delays.

  • CFO Colette Kress noted:
    “We have not shipped any H20 devices based on those licenses.”
  • Nvidia has also reportedly halted H20 chip production amid increasing resistance from the Chinese government, which is discouraging local companies from using Nvidia chips altogether.

Q3 Outlook and Beyond

Nvidia expects to hit $54 billion in revenue next quarter, with a margin of error of 2%, excluding any expected shipments of H20 to China.

  • The company continues to ride the wave of global AI adoption, even as geopolitical complexities shape its international footprint.

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