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Tesla (TSLA) Stock Struggles: Barclays Forecasts Limited Short-Term Growth

More Trouble Ahead for Tesla (TSLA) Shareholders, Barclays Warns

Tesla’s stock has dropped 25% over the past month, and Barclays predicts further declines for TSLA investors. Analyst Dan Levy has presented a cautious outlook, indicating that more challenges are ahead for the electric vehicle maker’s stock.

  • Sharp Decline: The stock’s recent drop signals increasing concerns about Tesla’s future performance.
  • Negative Forecast: Levy’s analysis highlights weak fundamentals as the driving force behind the stock’s struggles.

Levy explains that Tesla’s stock boost following Donald Trump’s re-election has largely dissipated, with the price now more closely reflecting Tesla’s underlying fundamentals.

  • Post-Election Surge: Tesla’s stock surge post-election was driven by optimism but now seems unsustainable.
  • Focus Shifting: As technical factors fade, the market is paying more attention to Tesla’s long-term fundamentals.

Levy predicts a difficult period for TSLA, attributing the stock’s earlier rally to a mix of euphoria and technical factors that are no longer in play.

  • Rally Unwinding: The initial excitement is fading as the stock returns to reflect real business performance.
  • Re-evaluation: Investors are now revisiting Tesla’s fundamentals, which are less promising.

Levy has set a Hold rating for TSLA stock, with a price target of $325, which is about 6% above its current level.

  • Limited Upside: The $325 target indicates minimal near-term growth.
  • Hold Rating: While not advising a sell, the analyst suggests that the stock’s potential remains limited for now.

Few Catalysts for Short-Term Growth

Levy’s note highlights that Tesla’s performance is unlikely to improve in the near future due to a lack of significant short-term catalysts. Tesla is also expected to report disappointing first-quarter earnings, adding more downward pressure on the stock.

  • Profit Concerns: The analyst is increasingly pessimistic about Tesla’s ability to boost profit margins.
  • Weak Financial Results: Analysts expect the first-quarter results to disappoint, further weighing down the stock.

One potential bright spot is Tesla’s Robotaxi launch expected in June. If the launch goes well, it could act as a positive catalyst for TSLA stock.

  • Robotaxi Launch: The launch may spark investor interest, boosting stock activity.
  • Short-Term Response: However, a “sell the news” scenario could lead to a quick sell-off after the event.

Despite this potential, TSLA stock has already declined by 10% over the past three months.

  • Recent Losses: Tesla has been struggling in the short term, showing a marked decline in recent months.
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